Oscar Predictions 2015

Although I keep a film journal on Letterboxd, the major downfall of that platform is that there is no way to make a post independent of a film. In other words, I  can’t write a generic post like this one; all posts (or “reviews”) must be written for a specific film. Because I love movies, and because I want these thoughts written down somewhere, I am posting my Oscar predictions. The Oscars will be awarded February 22, 2015 and include films from 2014.

These predictions are my own, along with my Letterboxd ratings; Kevin might have different opinions. Admittedly, I have not seen all of these films, and some were never available to be seen in my area, so I’m making the best predictions I can based on the information I have. Obviously, most of this is just my amateur opinion, so no bitching (though intellectual debate is always encouraged). Also, I’m only covering a few categories because I’m lazy.

Best Picture

Nominees: Whiplash (5/5), American Sniper (3/5), Birdman (4.5/5), The Grand Budapest Hotel (4.5/5), The Imitation Game (3.5/5), Selma, The Theory of Everything (3.5/5), Boyhood (5/5)
Should win: Boyhood
Will actually win: Selma
Should be on this list: Nightcrawler (5/5), Only Lovers Left Alive (4.5/5)
Lucky to be on this list: American Sniper

Best Actor

Nominees: Michael Keaton (Birdman), Eddie Redmayne (The Theory of Everything), Benedict Cumberbatch (The Imitation Game), Bradley Cooper (American Sniper), Steve Carrell (Foxcatcher)
Should win: Benedict Cumberbatch
Will actually win: Bradley Cooper
Should be on this list: Miles Teller (Whiplash), Jake Gyllenhaal (Nightcrawler)
Lucky to be on this list: Everyone; it’s a damn good list.

Best Actress

Nominees: Felicity Jones (The Theory of Everything), Marion Cotillard (Two Days, One Night), Reese Witherspoon (Wild, 3/5), Julianne Moore (Still Alice), Rosamund Pike (Gone Girl, 4/5)
Should win: Marion Cotillard
Will actually win: Rosamund Pike
Should be on this list: Tilda Swinton (Only Lovers Left Alive)
Lucky to be on this list: Again, it’s a good list.

Best Director

Nominees: Morten Tyldum (The Imitation Game), Bennett Miller (Foxcatcher), Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu (Birdman), Richard Linklater (Boyhood), Wes Anderson (The Grand Budapest Hotel)
Should win: Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu
Will actually win: Richard Linklater
Should be on this list: Damien Chazelle (Whiplash), Jim Jarmusch (Only Lovers Left Alive)
Lucky to be on this list: Morten Tyldum

Best Supporting Actor

Nominees: Mark Ruffalo (Foxcatcher), Edward Norton (Birdman), J.K. Simmons (Whiplash), Robert Duvall (The Judge), Ethan Hawke (Boyhood)
Should win: J.K. Simmons
Will actually win: Ethan Hawke
Should be on this list: Shia LeBeouf (Fury)
Lucky to be on this list: Robert Duvall (really??)

Best Supporting Actress

Nominees: Emma Stone (Birdman), Patricia Arquette (Boyhood), Meryl Streep (Into the Woods), Laura Dern (Wild), Keira Knightly (The Imitation Game)
Should win: Patricia Arquette
Will actually win: Keira Knightly
Should be on this list: N/A
Lucky to be on this list: Emma Stone

Best Original Screenplay

Nominees: Foxcatcher, Birdman, The Grand Budapest Hotel, Nightcrawler, Boyhood
Should win: Nightcrawler
Will actually win: Boyhood
Should be on this list: Only Lovers Left Alive
Lucky to be on this list: These were all fantastic films, and if you have not seen them, you should.

Best Animated Feature

Nominees: The Tale of the Princess Kaguya, How to Train Your Dragon 2 (3/5), The Boxtrolls (4/5), Big Hero 6 (4.5/5), Song of the Sea
Should win: The Tale of the Princess Kaguya
Will actually win: Big Hero 6
Should be on this list: N/A
Lucky to be on this list: How to Train Your Dragon 2